QB1 FAQ
Everything a beginner needs to read QB1: probability, market price, edge, the Winning Edge Score, timing signals and what QB1 will never claim.
What is QB1 Edge?
QB1 Edge is an NFL decision-intelligence platform. It turns NFL and prediction-market data into clear probabilities, market comparisons, timing signals and simple decisions.
How does QB1 predict NFL games?
QB1 uses deterministic models: Elo-based team strength, a fair-line calculation, game simulations and price math on stored sportsbook and prediction-market data. There is no guesswork layer added on top.
What is the Winning Edge Score?
A 0–100 score summarising how strong an opportunity looks once model confidence, data quality and market value are combined. Higher means a stronger combination, not a guaranteed result.
What does QB1 Probability mean?
It is QB1's own estimate of how likely an outcome is, based on the information available to the model.
What is Market Probability?
It is the probability implied by the current market price. A 56¢ contract implies roughly a 56% chance.
What is an edge?
The difference in percentage points between QB1's probability and the market's implied probability for the same outcome.
What does PASS mean?
QB1 does not see enough value at the current price. PASS is a legitimate output — QB1 never manufactures a pick to fill the screen.
What does WAIT mean?
QB1 sees potential in the outcome but not at the current price, so waiting for a better entry may be more sensible.
How does QB1 analyze Kalshi NFL markets?
QB1 compares its model probability against the stored YES and NO prices for supported NFL markets, includes fee effects in its price math, and reports the resulting edge, score and timing signal.
What does YES/NO mean?
YES is the cost of the contract that pays if the outcome happens; NO is the opposite side. The two roughly add up to 100¢.
How does QB1 determine market value?
By converting current prices into implied probability, removing sportsbook margin where applicable, and comparing that with the model probability.
How does QB1 determine entry timing?
From the model's fair value versus the current price, plus stored price history where snapshots exist. Where no history exists, QB1 does not invent movement.
How frequently does QB1 update?
Scheduled jobs refresh schedules, odds and market captures through the week, and each live module shows when its data was last captured.
What information does QB1 analyze?
NFL schedules and results, team strength ratings, player and roster information, injury and availability news, sportsbook lines and prediction-market prices.
Can QB1 guarantee a winning prediction?
No. No legitimate prediction model can guarantee the outcome of an NFL game or prediction market. QB1 provides probability-based analysis to help users make more informed decisions.
What do I get with a QB1 Edge membership?
QB1 Edge is a single paid membership: $49.99 per month, or $197 prepaid for six months with no auto-renewal. Membership unlocks full probabilities, model-vs-market comparison, weekly rankings, market timing and entry intelligence, advanced YES/NO analysis, confidence and data-quality detail, and premium opportunity discovery. Public pages show NFL schedules, game information and education.
Does QB1 place trades?
No. QB1 is analysis and tracking only. It never connects to a brokerage or betting account and never places an order.
Is QB1 a sportsbook?
No. QB1 does not accept wagers or hold funds. It is an analytics platform.
Is QB1 affiliated with Kalshi?
No. QB1 is independent and is not affiliated with, endorsed by or partnered with Kalshi, the NFL or any sportsbook.
QB1 EDGE reports statistical model output and market pricing. Scores describe model strength, not outcomes. No projection is certain — PASS is a valid result.