NFL DECISION INTELLIGENCESTOP GUESSING.
SEE THE EDGE.
QB1 turns NFL data, probability and live prediction-market pricing into one clear answer on every game: BUY, WAIT or PASS — with the reasoning in plain English.
BUILT FROM DATA. EXPLAINED IN PLAIN ENGLISH.
MEMBERS-ONLY — $49.99/MONTH, OR $197 FOR 6 MONTHS PREPAID. CANCEL ANYTIME.
MODEL → MARKET → QB1 EDGE → TIMING → DECISION
WHAT IF YOU COULD SEE WHAT THE MARKET MAY BE MISSING?
Every game has a price.
Every price carries an expectation.
QB1 analyzes the numbers behind both — looking for the moments where its probability and the market don't agree.
THAT DIFFERENCE IS THE EDGE.
YOU CAN SEE THE GAME.
MVPs CAN SEE THE EDGE.
See the probability. See the reasoning. Make your own decision.
LOADING THIS WEEK'S NFL SLATE…
NEXT NFL GAMES
LOADING SLATE… · IN KICKOFF ORDER
Who plays next, when they play, and where QB1 currently sees an edge. When nothing qualifies, the games are simply listed — QB1 never manufactures a pick.
LOADING NFL SCHEDULE…
AS SEEN ON
Media mentions only. QB1 is independent and is not endorsed by, affiliated with or partnered with these outlets, the NFL, Kalshi or any sportsbook.
WHAT SHOULD I READ?
ALL NFL NEWS →Verified NFL news and analysis from QB1 Intelligence. Every item is sourced — QB1 never invents news.
A GOOD PREDICTION DOESN'T ALWAYS MEAN A GOOD PRICE.
QB1 doesn't only analyze what may happen. It evaluates whether the market's current price offers enough value to justify action — and when it doesn't, it says WAIT or PASS.
A PICK TELLS YOU WHAT.
AN EDGE TELLS YOU WHY.
Knowing who QB1 expects to win is only the beginning.
PROBABILITY → MARKET PRICE → EDGE → TIMING → DECISION
QB1 sees enough value at the current price.
QB1 likes the opportunity, but not enough at this price yet.
QB1 doesn't see enough value to justify the move.
Sometimes the smartest move is the one you don't make.
BEING RIGHT IS GOOD.
BEING EARLY CAN BE BETTER.
Markets move. Prices change. Information changes. The opportunity you see now may not be the opportunity available later.
QB1 Edge helps MVPs understand not only what QB1 predicts, but whether the current price creates an opportunity worth considering.
THE PRICE MATTERS.
Finding the likely outcome isn't enough. The question is whether the opportunity is worth the price you're being asked to pay.
QB1 is built to identify the difference between probability and price — because that's where potential value begins.
THE QB1 EDGE
A good prediction doesn't always mean a good price. QB1 analyses both, then layers timing on top.
Team, player, matchup and historical NFL information turned into measurable inputs.
QB1's existing Elo and simulation math, expressed as a plain outcome probability.
QB1's probability placed next to the probability the current market price implies.
Multiple signals simplified into QB1's 0–100 opportunity score.
Whether the current price looks attractive, or whether waiting may be better.
For prediction markets, the analysis reduced to an understandable YES or NO read.
Where QB1's estimate and the market meaningfully disagree — and where they don't.
HOW QB1 TURNS DATA INTO AN EDGE
Every QB1 prediction is stored when it is generated and compared against the actual outcome. Tracking is not automatic retraining — QB1 reports what happened rather than rewriting history.
HOW QB1 THINKS
Deterministic calculations — Elo ratings, simulations and price math. No black box, no marketing buzzwords.
- STEP 1 — COLLECT
QB1 receives available NFL, market and historical information.
- STEP 2 — NORMALIZE
Different sources are converted into comparable inputs.
- STEP 3 — ANALYZE
QB1's existing Elo, simulation and pricing calculations run.
- STEP 4 — ESTIMATE
A model probability is generated for the outcome.
- STEP 5 — COMPARE
That probability is compared with the market-implied probability.
- STEP 6 — MEASURE
QB1 measures the size and quality of the potential edge.
- STEP 7 — TIME
QB1 evaluates whether the current price is attractive.
- STEP 8 — SIMPLIFY
The analysis becomes one understandable QB1 signal.
WHAT EVERY NUMBER MEANS
You do not need to know American odds, implied probability, expected value or Elo to use QB1.
What this means: QB1's estimate of how likely the outcome is, based on the data the model has.
What this means: The probability implied by what the market currently charges for that outcome.
What this means: The gap between the two, in percentage points. Positive means QB1 is higher than the price.
What this means: A 0–100 read on how strong the combination of model confidence and market value is.
What this means: QB1 found no attractive price, or the data isn't good enough right now. No forced picks.
WHY TRUST QB1?
No guarantees, no hype. QB1 earns trust through transparency about what it knows and what it doesn't.
Displayed numbers trace back to actual feeds, stored captures or stored calculations.
Every signal shows the probability, price and gap behind it.
Modules show when the underlying information was last captured.
QB1 can say PASS, and does.
Predictions are stored when made and graded against real outcomes.
You can see where QB1 actually disagrees with the market — and where it agrees.
SAME GAME.
DIFFERENT INFORMATION.
Millions of people can watch the same matchup. They can see the same score, the same players and the same headlines.
The difference is what you do with the information underneath it. QB1 Edge gives MVPs another perspective before they make the decision.
Score. Players. Headlines. The story everybody already has.
Probability, price, edge, timing and the reasoning behind the call.
MVPs MOVE DIFFERENT.
MVPs don't just watch the board.
They understand it.
They check the numbers.
They look for the difference between what everyone sees and what the data says.
And when the edge isn't there, they know that too.
THAT'S THE QB1 MINDSET.
MVP access puts QB1's NFL decision intelligence in your hands throughout the week.
WHAT DOES QB1 SEE RIGHT NOW?
READING THE CURRENT WEEK…
AN EDGE ISN'T ALWAYS A BET.
Sometimes QB1 says BUY.
Sometimes QB1 says WAIT.
Sometimes QB1 says PASS.
Knowing when the numbers don't justify the move is part of having an edge.
THE GAME IS PUBLIC.
THE EDGE IS FOR MVPs.
MVP access unlocks the intelligence QB1 builds around every qualifying opportunity.
THE MVPs ARE IN THE BUILDING.
The product is the proof. QB1 publishes its reasoning and its record instead of testimonials.
Every QB1 call is stored before kickoff and graded afterwards — wins and losses both stay on the record.
SEE THE TRACK RECORD →The probability engine, the market comparison and the decision rules are documented in plain English.
READ THE METHODOLOGY →Current NFL market pricing and movement, updated from stored captures throughout the week.
OPEN THE MARKET REPORT →QB1 FAQ
Straight answers about how QB1 works, what the numbers mean and what QB1 will never claim.
What is QB1 Edge?
QB1 Edge is an NFL decision-intelligence platform. It turns NFL and prediction-market data into clear probabilities, market comparisons, timing signals and simple decisions.
How does QB1 predict NFL games?
QB1 uses deterministic models: Elo-based team strength, a fair-line calculation, game simulations and price math on stored sportsbook and prediction-market data. There is no guesswork layer added on top.
What is the Winning Edge Score?
A 0–100 score summarising how strong an opportunity looks once model confidence, data quality and market value are combined. Higher means a stronger combination, not a guaranteed result.
What does QB1 Probability mean?
It is QB1's own estimate of how likely an outcome is, based on the information available to the model.
What is Market Probability?
It is the probability implied by the current market price. A 56¢ contract implies roughly a 56% chance.
What is an edge?
The difference in percentage points between QB1's probability and the market's implied probability for the same outcome.
What does PASS mean?
QB1 does not see enough value at the current price. PASS is a legitimate output — QB1 never manufactures a pick to fill the screen.
What does WAIT mean?
QB1 sees potential in the outcome but not at the current price, so waiting for a better entry may be more sensible.
SPECIALIZATION IS THE ADVANTAGE
- We don't analyze every sport. We analyze football.
- One league. Deeper intelligence.
- 32 teams. Every week. One winning edge.
- From kickoff to the Super Bowl.
One league means deeper data, tighter modeling and honest scales. When QB1 does not find a qualified edge, it says so instead of manufacturing a pick.
MEMBERSHIPS
One membership. There is no free tier — QB1 is a members-only intelligence terminal.
Everything QB1 computes — the full edge board, Kalshi scanner, buy-low / sell-high timing, props, parlays, fantasy and the performance labs.
CANCEL ANYTIME.
ONE LEAGUE. TOTAL FOCUS.
QB1 Edge is built for the NFL and nothing else. Every game, every week, every Kalshi NFL market — game winners, spreads, totals, player props, playoff and Super Bowl markets — analysed by one model that only has to be right about football.
32 TEAMS · PRESEASON THROUGH THE SUPER BOWL · NFL KALSHI MARKETS EXPAND AS THEY ARE LISTED.
WHILE THE MARKET MOVES…
MVPs are already checking the board.
They're seeing what QB1 sees.
They're watching prices.
They're reviewing the reasoning.
And they're deciding whether the edge is strong enough to move.
ARE YOU WATCHING THE GAME…
OR WATCHING THE EDGE?
QB1 EDGE reports statistical model output and market pricing. Scores describe model strength, not outcomes. No projection is certain — PASS is a valid result.