2026 Week 1 NFL Predictions

Every Week 1 matchup with Harwld's win probability, fair spread and Winning Edge Score. The pick shows the more likely winner; the Winning Edge Score shows where market pricing looks furthest from the model.

UPDATED Sep 9, 5:00 PM ET

NE@SEA

New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks

Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL NE 11 — SEA 15

SF@LAR

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams

Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL SF 31 — LAR 9

CHI@CAR

Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers

Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL CHI 68 — CAR 42

TB@CIN

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals

Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL TB 31 — CIN 38

NO@DET

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions

Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL NO 34 — DET 36

BUF@HOU

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL BUF 41 — HOU 36

BAL@IND

Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts

Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL BAL 47 — IND 26

CLE@JAX

Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL CLE 11 — JAX 39

ATL@PIT

Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL ATL 15 — PIT 23

NYJ@TEN

New York Jets at Tennessee Titans

Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL NYJ 26 — TEN 11

ARI@LAC

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers

Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL ARI 30 — LAC 16

MIA@LV

Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders

Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL MIA 15 — LV 31

GB@MIN

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL GB 25 — MIN 45

WAS@PHI

Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles

Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL WAS 25 — PHI 28

DAL@NYG

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants

Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL DAL 23 — NYG 32

DEN@KC

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL DEN 11 — KC 36