2026 Week 4 NFL Predictions

Every Week 4 matchup with Harwld's win probability, fair spread and Winning Edge Score. The pick shows the more likely winner; the Winning Edge Score shows where market pricing looks furthest from the model.

UPDATED Oct 1, 10:02 PM ET

PIT@CLE

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns

Thu, Oct 1 · 8:15 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL PIT 24 — CLE 27

IND@WAS

Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders

Sun, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL IND 30 — WAS 13

TEN@BAL

Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens

Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL TEN 18 — BAL 24

NYJ@CHI

New York Jets at Chicago Bears

Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL NYJ 12 — CHI 23

DAL@HOU

Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans

Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL DAL 34 — HOU 30

ARI@NYG

Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants

Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL ARI 24 — NYG 36

GB@TB

Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL GB 17 — TB 14

NE@BUF

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL NE 29 — BUF 26

JAX@CIN

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals

Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL JAX 22 — CIN 17

LAR@PHI

Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles

Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL LAR 24 — PHI 20

MIA@MIN

Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings

Sun, Oct 4 · 4:05 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL MIA 10 — MIN 15

KC@LV

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders

Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL KC 30 — LV 27

LAC@SEA

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks

Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL LAC 23 — SEA 30

DEN@SF

Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers

Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL DEN 14 — SF 24

DET@CAR

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers

Sun, Oct 4 · 8:20 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL DET 26 — CAR 32

ATL@NO

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints

Mon, Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL ATL 45 — NO 24