2026 Week 5 NFL Predictions

Every Week 5 matchup with Harwld's win probability, fair spread and Winning Edge Score. The pick shows the more likely winner; the Winning Edge Score shows where market pricing looks furthest from the model.

UPDATED Oct 8, 9:15 PM ET

TB@DAL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys

Thu, Oct 8 · 8:15 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL TB 24 — DAL 16

PHI@JAX

Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun, Oct 11 · 9:30 AM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL PHI 17 — JAX 19

LV@NE

Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots

Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL LV 17 — NE 45

MIN@NO

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints

Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL MIN 23 — NO 13

CLE@NYJ

Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL CLE 12 — NYJ 17

IND@PIT

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL IND 22 — PIT 34

NYG@WAS

New York Giants at Washington Commanders

Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL NYG 27 — WAS 27

CHI@GB

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL CHI 7 — GB 31

HOU@TEN

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL HOU 26 — TEN 3

CIN@MIA

Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins

Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL CIN 31 — MIA 24

DEN@LAC

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers

Sun, Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL DEN 23 — LAC 17

DET@ARI

Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals

Sun, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL DET 45 — ARI 21

SF@SEA

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

Sun, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL SF 32 — SEA 29

BAL@ATL

Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons

Sun, Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL BAL 30 — ATL 23

BUF@LAR

Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams

Mon, Oct 12 · 8:15 PM ET

Harwld

Harwld PICK: LOADING
WIN PROB: LOADING
FAIR SPREAD: LOADING

FINAL BUF 37 — LAR 34